AGF Aarhus 3-1 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 14 Dec 2025

AGF Aarhus
3-1 HT 2-0
Odense
📅14/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark - DBU Cup – 2025/2026

AGF Aarhus vs Odense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
15%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.33
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
10%
6.32
2/1
7%
20.35
2/2
14%
7.89
2/X
5%
16.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AGF Aarhus v Odense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.66/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.47
-43% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
27.0 Crosses 7.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.4

AGF Aarhus vs Odense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Odense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.63 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
427 Passes 342
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.12.2025 Odense Odense 1-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
18.08.2025 Odense Odense 1-5 HT 1-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
06.07.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense HAZ
03.03.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
20.08.2023 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
19.03.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Odense Odense DAN

AGF Aarhus 3-1 Odense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
3-1
AWAY Odense
2.44 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
418 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus got the better of Odense 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 58% of the ball to Odense's 42%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.44 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.67 for Odense.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Odense?

AGF Aarhus 3-1 Odense in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 53%, draw 20%, Odense 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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