FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
29%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
10%
23.1
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
9%
6.13
X/2
19%
5.93
X/X
9%
6.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
2/2
13%
3.42
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.21/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.17
+104% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
457 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
48.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.0 Crosses 16.0
4.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.47 xG 2.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
420 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-1 HT 3-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
30.11.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 6-0 HT 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
14.09.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
27.04.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-0 HT 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
02.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2-1
AWAY Midtjylland
1.46 xG 2.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
305 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Midtjylland 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day FC Nordsjaelland made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 44% of the ball to Midtjylland's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.46 to 2.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Midtjylland.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 3.33 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Midtjylland in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 37%, draw 21%, Midtjylland 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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