Lyon vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals
Lyon vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Le Havre
FR1
3-1
HT 2-0
Le Havre
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Lyon
FR1
Lyon 1-0 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon edged past Le Havre 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Lyon had 57% of the ball to Le Havre's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.56 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lyon and 1.00 for Le Havre.
What was the final score of Lyon vs Le Havre?
Lyon 1-0 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon vs Le Havre?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lyon 62%, draw 19%, Le Havre 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.