Atromitos 2-0 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.08
Away Pick
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.0
Over
59%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.95
No
42%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.55
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.16
6+
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.9
1/2
9%
23.1
1/X
5%
20.05
X/1
7%
13.85
X/2
23%
3.92
X/X
6%
6.07
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
29%
1.77
2/X
9%
17.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK The Market 69%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.66/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.88
-19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
14.1 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.63 xG 1.63
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
200 Passes 473
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
22.12.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
01.09.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
04.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
22.10.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
28.12.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
2-0
AWAY PAOK
1.60 xG 1.08
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
179 Passes 528
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Atromitos vs PAOK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atromitos had too much for PAOK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. PAOK carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Small consolation: at 1.46 (roughly 68%) the price was further off than we were. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Atromitos had 30% of the ball to PAOK's 70%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.60 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atromitos and 1.83 for PAOK.

Atromitos vs PAOK Result & Final Score

Atromitos 2-0 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atromitos vs PAOK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 19%, draw 20%, PAOK 61%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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