Stranraer 1-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+8.8pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stranraer EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -30%
1.26/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.70
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stranraer
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Elgin City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2 Corners 4
02.11.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
24.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.01.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
05.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stranraer vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stranraer nicked a narrow win over Elgin City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stranraer as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stranraer and 1.17 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Stranraer 1-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stranraer vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stranraer win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stranraer 43%, draw 21%, Elgin City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stranraer), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stranraer) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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