Cheltenham Town 3-2 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

Cheltenham Town
3-2 HT 0-1
Barrow
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cheltenham Town vs Barrow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.08
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
13%
5.49
X/2
8%
5.48
X/X
15%
3.75
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Cheltenham Town win — 39%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cheltenham Town v Barrow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.31/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
241 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 69%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.6 Crosses 20.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Cheltenham Town vs Barrow Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Barrow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.68 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
284 Passes 217
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
16.03.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
19.12.2020 Barrow Barrow 3-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
06.02.2016 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İBSL
22.08.2015 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İBSL

Cheltenham Town 3-2 Barrow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
3-2
AWAY Barrow
1.55 xG 0.37
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
317 Passes 154
75% Pass Accuracy 60%
17 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town nicked a narrow win over Barrow 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Cheltenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 62% of the ball to Barrow's 38%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.55 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.80 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Barrow?

Cheltenham Town 3-2 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 39%, draw 34%, Barrow 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
15 Feb 2025
15:30 AFC Wimbledon vs Salford City Analysis →
15:30 Doncaster Rovers vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
18:00 Newport County vs Bradford City Analysis →
18:00 Morecambe vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
18:00 Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
18:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →