Stoke City vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stoke City v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Stoke City vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
1-3
HT 1-2
Stoke City
İNCL
1-1
HT 0-1
Swansea City
İNCL
3-0
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
Stoke City 3-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Stoke City beat Swansea City 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Stoke City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Stoke City had 34% of the ball to Swansea City's 66%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stoke City and 1.00 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Stoke City 3-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stoke City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 39%, draw 27%, Swansea City 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stoke City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.