Avondale Heights 4-1 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.1pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.1pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.72/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.46
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.8 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Port Melbourne
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.56 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-4 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
11.05.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 5-1 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
20.05.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.02.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
26.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
23.04.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights swept aside Port Melbourne 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Avondale Heights and 0.83 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Port Melbourne?

Avondale Heights 4-1 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 67%, draw 21%, Port Melbourne 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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