Maitland 3-3 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

Maitland
3-3 HT 2-1
Valentine Phoenix
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2025

Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
43%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.39
No
30%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-10.7pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
29%
+13.4pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.8pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maitland v Valentine Phoenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maitland EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.03/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.81
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maitland
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-4 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
24.02.2024 Maitland Maitland 0-1 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
17.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 1-2 HT 0-2 Maitland Maitland AVNSW
25.03.2023 Maitland Maitland 1-3 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
26.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 2-1 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
11.05.2022 Maitland Maitland 4-0 HT 1-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maitland and Valentine Phoenix couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valentine Phoenix at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Maitland and 1.50 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix?

Maitland 3-3 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maitland vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valentine Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maitland 37%, draw 20%, Valentine Phoenix 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valentine Phoenix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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