Jubilo Iwata 3-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.84/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.34
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
495 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 5-0 HT 3-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
08.04.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-5 HT 0-3 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
14.11.2021 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-3 HT 0-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
13.03.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 2-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
02.12.2020 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-1 HT 1-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
09.09.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
3-2
AWAY Mito HollyHock
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
350 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata edged past Mito HollyHock 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jubilo Iwata as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 56% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 44%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Mito HollyHock?

Jubilo Iwata 3-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 49%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✗ Under 2.5
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