Sagan Tosu 0-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.1
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.64 xG 1.09
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
522 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2021 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
10.03.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 5-0 HT 3-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
25.11.2020 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
08.11.2020 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-3 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
31.08.2019 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
24.04.2019 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagan Tosu
0-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 Passes 228
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Vegalta Sendai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sagan Tosu had 59% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 41%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sagan Tosu and 0.50 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai?

Sagan Tosu 0-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 35%, draw 29%, Vegalta Sendai 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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