Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.34/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.15
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
244 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 11.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
301 Passes 194
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
30.03.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-2 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.08.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 3-2 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.06.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 4-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
14.05.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
277 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu nicked a narrow win over Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Ventforet Kofu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 50% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 50%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.67 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 36%, draw 30%, Renofa Yamaguchi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ventforet Kofu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
15 Feb 2025
08:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →
08:00 Omiya Ardija vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
08:00 Sagan Tosu vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →
08:00 Iwaki vs JEF United Analysis →
13:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →