Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.17/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.34
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-2 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.08.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 3-2 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.06.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 4-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
26.06.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
14.05.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
28.11.2021 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
2-0
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
194 Passes 301
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi saw off Ventforet Kofu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Renofa Yamaguchi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 42% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 58%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.50 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ventforet Kofu?

Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 35%, draw 26%, Ventforet Kofu 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ventforet Kofu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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