ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Tokushima Vortis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Oct 2024

ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-2 HT 0-1
Tokushima Vortis
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tokushima Vortis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.11
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 39% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Tokushima Vortis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
0.69/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.91
-36% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.0 Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tokushima Vortis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
01.07.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
23.04.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
26.06.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
08.05.2022 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
01.11.2020 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-3 HT 2-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Tokushima Vortis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-2
AWAY Tokushima Vortis
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
237 Passes 489
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tokushima Vortis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis beat ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tokushima Vortis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 36% of the ball to Tokushima Vortis's 64%, shots finished 14-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 0.67 for Tokushima Vortis.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tokushima Vortis?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Tokushima Vortis in the Japan - J2 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Tokushima Vortis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 32%, draw 30%, Tokushima Vortis 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokushima Vortis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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