Tochigi SC 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
0.84/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.90
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
161 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses 19.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 4-1 HT 2-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
22.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
29.04.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 HT 2-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 345
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 42% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 58%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tochigi SC and 2.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Tochigi SC 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 26%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-Pulse 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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