V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
V-Varen Nagasaki v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kagoshima United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Kagoshima United
JPK
1-2
HT 0-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
JAP2
V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki cruised past Kagoshima United 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 59% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 41%, shots finished 12-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 0.33 for Kagoshima United.
What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kagoshima United?
V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kagoshima United?
Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 51%, draw 23%, Kagoshima United 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.