Thun 1-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 Feb 2026

Thun
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Sion
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.21
Over Pick
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.28
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
28%
2.87
6+
8%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.38
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.66
X/2
8%
8.52
X/X
14%
5.65
2/1
3%
21.2
2/2
13%
6.02
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.2 — our 3% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Thun The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion The Market 28%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.13 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
1.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
25.10.2025 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV
22.04.2024 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV2
15.03.2024 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
08.12.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV2
25.09.2023 Sion Sion 2-3 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1 - 0
AWAY Sion
1.25 xG 0.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Thun vs Sion
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Thun shaded a tight game against Sion 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Thun against 0.83 for Sion.

Thun vs Sion Result & Final Score

Thun 1 - 0 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Thun vs Sion Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Thun 53%, draw 24%, Sion 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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