Avellino 0-1 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.97
X/2
10%
7.35
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.2
2/2
10%
5.21
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.37/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.72
+8% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.3 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pescara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.99 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
435 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 30
34 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Pescara Pescara 1-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTB
23.12.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
04.09.2022 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
18.03.2018 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
21.10.2017 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTB
08.04.2016 Avellino Avellino 1-3 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
0-1
AWAY Pescara
0.66 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 215
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 28
32 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara nicked a narrow win over Avellino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avellino had 60% of the ball to Pescara's 40%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.66 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avellino and 1.50 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Pescara?

Avellino 0-1 Pescara in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Avellino 45%, draw 28%, Pescara 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ BTTS Yes
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