Empoli 1-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Feb 2026

Empoli
1-1 HT 0-1
Reggiana
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Empoli vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 37% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
6%
7.74
X/X
16%
4.01
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
7%
6.62
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.83/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.36
+64% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.7 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Empoli vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2025 Reggiana Reggiana 3-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
15.08.2025 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTK
09.04.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
22.12.2020 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB

Empoli 1-1 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.34 xG 0.97
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
409 Passes 140
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 7
44 Crosses 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Reggiana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Empoli had 71% of the ball to Reggiana's 29%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.34 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Empoli and 1.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Reggiana?

Empoli 1-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Empoli 52%, draw 27%, Reggiana 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Empoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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