FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Bari 1908 v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals
FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Südtirol
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Südtirol
İTB
FC Bari 1908 1-2 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics
Südtirol squeezed past FC Bari 1908 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Südtirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 55% of the ball to Südtirol's 45%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.57 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Südtirol's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.50 for Südtirol.
What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?
FC Bari 1908 1-2 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?
Before kick-off our model rated an Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 31%, draw 31%, Südtirol 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.