Spezia vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Spezia
İTB
2-1
HT 1-0
Spezia
İTB
Spezia 0-2 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Frosinone got the better of Spezia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spezia had 50% of the ball to Frosinone's 50%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.46 to 2.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Spezia and 1.33 for Frosinone.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Frosinone?
Spezia 0-2 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Frosinone?
Before kick-off our model rated an Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Spezia 31%, draw 24%, Frosinone 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.