Pescara 1-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.23
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.88
X/2
12%
5.54
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.86
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · X/1 at 5.88 — our 19% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.32/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.57
+6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Avellino
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2022 Avellino Avellino 1-0 HT 1-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
04.09.2022 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
18.03.2018 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
21.10.2017 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTB
08.04.2016 Avellino Avellino 1-3 HT 0-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
20.11.2015 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-1
AWAY Avellino
1.79 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
28 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
283 Passes 435
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 35
26 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara and Avellino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pescara had 41% of the ball to Avellino's 59%, shots finished 28-20, expected goals 1.79 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pescara had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pescara and 1.17 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Avellino?

Pescara 1-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pescara 39%, draw 27%, Avellino 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pescara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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