Empoli 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Oct 2025

Empoli
1-1 HT 0-0
Sampdoria
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Empoli vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.34
6+ Goals
10%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.36
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.12
X/2
9%
6.58
X/X
15%
3.87
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
9%
4.96
2/X
12%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.73/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
+37% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.7 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Empoli vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 Passes 365
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.05.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.01.2023 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
19.02.2022 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 2-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
19.09.2021 Empoli Empoli 0-3 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
12.05.2019 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
22.12.2018 Empoli Empoli 2-4 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA

Empoli 1-1 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.57 xG 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 460
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Sampdoria shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Empoli had 39% of the ball to Sampdoria's 61%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 1.83 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Sampdoria?

Empoli 1-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Empoli 42%, draw 33%, Sampdoria 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Empoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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