Cesena vs Carrarese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesena v Carrarese — Team-Based Signals
Cesena vs Carrarese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Carrarese
İTB
2-1
HT 1-0
Carrarese
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Cesena
İTC
1-2
HT 1-0
Carrarese
İTC
Cesena 2-1 Carrarese — Actual Match Statistics
Cesena squeezed past Carrarese 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Cesena had 42% of the ball to Carrarese's 58%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.85 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cesena's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrarese led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cesena and 1.67 for Carrarese.
What was the final score of Cesena vs Carrarese?
Cesena 2-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesena vs Carrarese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cesena 46%, draw 27%, Carrarese 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.