Frosinone 4-0 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.0 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
16%
4.99
X/2
9%
6.98
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.25
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.54
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.9 Crosses 21.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.70
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
394 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2021 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-3 HT 1-2 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
20.10.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
01.02.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
14.09.2019 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
12.05.2018 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
21.12.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 4-3 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
4-0
AWAY Virtus Entella
2.87 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
293 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone cruised past Virtus Entella 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Frosinone had 49% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 51%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.87 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Frosinone and 1.00 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Virtus Entella?

Frosinone 4-0 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie B on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 46%, draw 29%, Virtus Entella 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✗ BTTS Yes
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