Palermo 0-3 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Oct 2025

Palermo
0-3 HT 0-1
Monza
📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Palermo vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 35% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.54
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
10%
5.24
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
16%
3.88
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.64
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.13
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.1 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Palermo vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Monza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo HAZ

Palermo 0-3 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-3
AWAY Monza
0.87 xG 2.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
313 Passes 266
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza cruised past Palermo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Monza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Palermo had 53% of the ball to Monza's 47%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.87 to 2.36.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Monza?

Palermo 0-3 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Palermo 38%, draw 31%, Monza 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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