Monza 0-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jul 2024

Monza
0-1 HT 0-1
Palermo
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Monza vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 29%
-71% / -71% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.76
-100% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Monza 0-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-1
AWAY Palermo
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo nicked a narrow win over Monza 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Monza at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Monza had 65% of the ball to Palermo's 35%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Monza vs Palermo?

Monza 0-1 Palermo in the Friendlies on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Monza 47%, draw 26%, Palermo 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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