Reggiana 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Oct 2025

📅28/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.23
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
3%
14.95
X/1
3%
7.47
X/2
10%
4.48
X/X
17%
3.93
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.84
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.17/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.11
+44% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
15.3 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Modena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2025 Modena Modena 2-3 HT 2-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
14.12.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 0-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
01.05.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
02.12.2023 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
02.02.2022 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC
06.09.2021 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-0
AWAY Modena
0.48 xG 1.16
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 9
155 Passes 443
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 27
5 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana nicked a narrow win over Modena 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Reggiana had 30% of the ball to Modena's 70%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.48 to 1.16 — on chances, Modena could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reggiana and 1.00 for Modena.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Modena?

Reggiana 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 28/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 29%, draw 28%, Modena 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5
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