Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
7%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
81%
-5.1pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.7pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 8%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.45/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.75
+23% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
450 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
6W-0D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-4 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
16.02.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
25.08.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
26.02.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
27.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 2-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
03.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
2-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad edged past PFC Beroe 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 67% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 33%, shots finished 28-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.33 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs PFC Beroe?

Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 76%, draw 17%, PFC Beroe 7%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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