Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Le Havre v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
Le Havre vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Le Havre nicked a narrow win over Toulouse 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
A gentle 42% lean on Toulouse didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Toulouse saw more of the ball, 67% to 33%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 1.14 to 2.36 — on chances, Toulouse could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Le Havre against 1.83 for Toulouse.
Le Havre vs Toulouse Result & Final Score
Le Havre 2 - 1 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 27%, draw 31%, Toulouse 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.