Pars Jam Bushehr 1-1 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
16%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
12%
5.62
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.04 — our 43% vs market 40.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
37%
Draw
28%
+8.9pp
16%
Away Win
22%
-5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.5pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.18/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.06
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pars Jam Bushehr
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
24.09.2025 Naft Gachsaran 0-1 HT 0-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
11.03.2025 Naft Gachsaran 1-1 HT 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
23.10.2024 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
22.11.2023 Naft Gachsaran 4-0 HT 3-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pars Jam Bushehr and Naft Gachsaran couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pars Jam Bushehr at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pars Jam Bushehr had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pars Jam Bushehr and 1.25 for Naft Gachsaran.

What was the final score of Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Gachsaran?

Pars Jam Bushehr 1-1 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pars Jam Bushehr win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pars Jam Bushehr 47%, draw 37%, Naft Gachsaran 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pars Jam Bushehr), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pars Jam Bushehr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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