Ajka 0-1 Budafoki MTE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
0.95/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.75
-29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Budafoki MTE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.08.2025 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
30.03.2025 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 0-2 Ajka Ajka MAC2
22.09.2024 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 1-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
04.02.2024 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 2-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
06.08.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
11.12.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
0-1
AWAY Budafoki MTE
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Budafoki MTE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE squeezed past Ajka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ajka at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajka had 59% of the ball to Budafoki MTE's 41%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ajka and 1.17 for Budafoki MTE.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?

Ajka 0-1 Budafoki MTE in the Hungary - NB II on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Budafoki MTE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajka 43%, draw 25%, Budafoki MTE 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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