Lech Poznan 3-0 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.84/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.45
+11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.0 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.65 xG 1.38
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
454 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2026 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
03.12.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POLK
24.05.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.11.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
10.12.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.07.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
3-0
AWAY Piast Gliwice
2.80 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
358 Passes 387
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lech Poznan ran out comfortable winners over Piast Gliwice 3-0 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15 Feb 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 48% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 52%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.80 to 0.89.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.50 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?

Lech Poznan 3-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 50%, draw 22%, Piast Gliwice 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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