Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motor Lublin v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals
Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Lechia Gdansk
POL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Motor Lublin
POL1
Motor Lublin 2-3 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics
Lechia Gdansk squeezed past Motor Lublin 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Motor Lublin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
On the day, Motor Lublin had 59% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 41%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.52 to 3.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lechia Gdansk's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Motor Lublin and 0.80 for Lechia Gdansk.
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk?
Motor Lublin 2-3 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Lechia Gdansk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 43%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motor Lublin) went the other way.