Danubio 2-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.10/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.00
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
14.06.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
18.04.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
08.09.2024 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.07.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.02.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
2-0
AWAY Boston River
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio got the better of Boston River 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Danubio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Danubio had 63% of the ball to Boston River's 37%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Danubio and 0.67 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Boston River?

Danubio 2-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Danubio 41%, draw 29%, Boston River 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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15 Feb 2026
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