Gateshead 0-2 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
20%
4.11
X/2
9%
11.45
X/X
8%
6.45
2/1
9%
20.1
2/2
11%
8.81
2/X
7%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.68
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
137 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 98 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Maidenhead United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
4 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-5 HT 0-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
23.09.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
29.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 4-0 HT 3-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
24.09.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
05.01.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
04.08.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
0-2
AWAY Maidenhead United
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United got the better of Gateshead 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Gateshead carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gateshead had 67% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 33%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gateshead and 0.33 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Maidenhead United?

Gateshead 0-2 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 55%, draw 21%, Maidenhead United 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
15 Mar 2025
15:30 Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
18:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs York City Analysis →