Yeovil 0-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
44%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 35% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.94
1/2
11%
25.5
1/X
8%
17.2
X/1
7%
9.15
X/2
15%
3.96
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.26
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 58%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.80/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.26
-30% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
179 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 163 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-0D-4L
AWAY York City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 York City York City 4-0 HT 2-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
25.02.2023 York City York City 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
03.09.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
02.01.2016 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İN2
18.08.2015 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
20.04.2004 York City York City 1-2 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
0-1
AWAY York City
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City edged past Yeovil 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Yeovil had 42% of the ball to York City's 58%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yeovil and 1.50 for York City.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs York City?

Yeovil 0-1 York City in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 26%, draw 30%, York City 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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