Oldham Athletic 1-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.22
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
11%
4.87
X/2
14%
6.36
X/X
11%
4.19
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.85
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.40/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.11
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
143 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 124 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.49 xG 0.59
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
113 Passes 251
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.02.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
06.04.2024 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
21.10.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-4 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
29.01.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
25.09.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
20.07.2019 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-3 HT 2-2 Rochdale Rochdale HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
1-1
AWAY Rochdale
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic and Rochdale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 56% of the ball to Rochdale's 44%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.17 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale?

Oldham Athletic 1-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 37%, draw 26%, Rochdale 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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