Altrincham 1-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.83
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
19%
4.88
X/2
8%
7.02
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
14%
4.93
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
2.01/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.67
+34% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
127 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 117 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
17.02.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
03.10.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
29.04.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
24.09.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.03.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town squeezed past Altrincham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Altrincham at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Altrincham had 51% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Altrincham and 1.00 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?

Altrincham 1-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 46%, draw 27%, Aldershot Town 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
15 Mar 2025
15:30 Oldham Athletic vs Rochdale Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Southend United Analysis →
18:00 Sutton United vs Halifax Town Analysis →
18:00 Yeovil vs York City Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Maidenhead United Analysis →