Aldershot Town 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.68
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
8%
6.75
X/2
13%
4.8
X/X
11%
5.14
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
26%
2.91
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.36/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.36
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
100 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 127 · 94%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Altrincham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
03.10.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
29.04.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
24.09.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.03.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
04.12.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-1
AWAY Altrincham
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town nicked a narrow win over Altrincham 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Altrincham at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 44% of the ball to Altrincham's 56%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.17 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Altrincham?

Aldershot Town 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 28%, draw 28%, Altrincham 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Altrincham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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