Solihull Moors 3-4 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.3
X/1
9%
4.34
X/2
8%
7.78
X/X
10%
5.33
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
18%
5.66
2/X
6%
14.7
Value flag · 1/X at 14.3 — our 9% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.94/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.69
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
85 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 55 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solihull Moors
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-2 HT 0-2 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
15.11.2022 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors FAK
05.11.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-2 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United FAK
09.02.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-0 HT 1-0 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
01.12.2020 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solihull Moors
3-4
AWAY Hartlepool United
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
3 Passes 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United edged past Solihull Moors 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Solihull Moors at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Solihull Moors had 59% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 41%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Solihull Moors and 1.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool United?

Solihull Moors 3-4 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solihull Moors win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Solihull Moors 43%, draw 25%, Hartlepool United 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Solihull Moors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Solihull Moors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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