Southend United 2-2 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.41
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
8%
6.87
X/2
21%
4.34
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.87
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
0.79/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.78
-40% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +65%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
118 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.51 xG 1.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
171 Passes 338
60% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-3 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İN2
24.11.2020 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-2
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
2 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United and Forest Green Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southend United had 47% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 53%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southend United and 1.00 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Southend United 2-2 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Southend United 32%, draw 27%, Forest Green Rovers 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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