Maidenhead United 0-5 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

Maidenhead United
0-5 HT 0-2
Gateshead
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Maidenhead United vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.29
1/2
9%
23.85
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
13%
7.4
X/2
9%
4.57
X/X
16%
5.06
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.71
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maidenhead United v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -30%
1.25/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.94
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
78 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 108 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Maidenhead United vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gateshead
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
29.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 4-0 HT 3-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
24.09.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
05.01.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
04.08.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
10.03.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 7-1 HT 2-1 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Maidenhead United 0-5 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
0-5
AWAY Gateshead
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
0 Passes 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead ran out comfortable winners over Maidenhead United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 29% of the ball to Gateshead's 71%, shots finished 6-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maidenhead United and 3.00 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Gateshead?

Maidenhead United 0-5 Gateshead in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 29%, draw 30%, Gateshead 41%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5
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