Eastleigh 1-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.51 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.52
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
6%
5.75
X/X
17%
4.84
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
22%
3.92
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.74/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.35
+22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
12.08.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
07.01.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-1 HT 1-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.08.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
05.03.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 4-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
09.10.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-1
AWAY Wealdstone
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Wealdstone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 40% of the ball to Wealdstone's 60%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastleigh and 0.83 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Wealdstone?

Eastleigh 1-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 34%, draw 30%, Wealdstone 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wealdstone), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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