Aldershot Town 2-0 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

Aldershot Town
2-0 HT 2-0
Altrincham
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Aldershot Town vs Altrincham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.38
Over 2.5
46%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
9%
7.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.97 — our 30% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.86
1/2
6%
22.9
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
14%
6.37
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
5.39
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
18%
3.05
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · X/2 at 5.39 — our 19% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.3pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Altrincham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.38/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.59
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1

Aldershot Town vs Altrincham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Altrincham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
29.04.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
24.09.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.03.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
04.12.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
13.03.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL

Aldershot Town 2-0 Altrincham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
2-0
AWAY Altrincham
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town saw off Altrincham 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Altrincham at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 42% of the ball to Altrincham's 58%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.33 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Altrincham?

Aldershot Town 2-0 Altrincham in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 32%, draw 25%, Altrincham 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Altrincham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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