York City 4-0 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
17%
3.93
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
12%
7.18
2/X
7%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 24%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.45/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.22
-17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
141 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 120 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Yeovil
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2023 York City York City 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
03.09.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
02.01.2016 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İN2
18.08.2015 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
20.04.2004 York City York City 1-2 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İN2
13.09.2003 Yeovil Yeovil 3-0 HT 2-0 York City York City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
4-0
AWAY Yeovil
72% Ball Possession 28%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York City vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City cruised past Yeovil 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, York City had 72% of the ball to Yeovil's 28%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for York City and 1.17 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of York City vs Yeovil?

York City 4-0 Yeovil in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split York City 45%, draw 28%, Yeovil 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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