Chester 1-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 28.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.34/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.38
-28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leamington
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2025 Leamington Leamington 1-4 HT 0-4 Chester Chester İCON
11.03.2023 Leamington Leamington 0-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
12.11.2022 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
26.02.2022 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
04.12.2021 Chester Chester 2-1 HT 1-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
10.10.2020 Chester Chester 3-2 HT 2-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-0
AWAY Leamington
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester nicked a narrow win over Leamington 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chester had 56% of the ball to Leamington's 44%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chester and 1.33 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Chester vs Leamington?

Chester 1-0 Leamington in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chester 48%, draw 29%, Leamington 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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