Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.67
X/2
13%
6.46
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
7%
5.27
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.2pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.95
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +81%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.2 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wrexham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.99 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 Passes 189
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 25
31 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Wrexham Wrexham 3-2 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
11.03.2008 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
07.11.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
03.02.2007 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
05.08.2006 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
04.02.2006 Wrexham Wrexham 2-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Wrexham
0.91 xG 0.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
206 Passes 194
63% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham edged past Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wycombe Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 51% of the ball to Wrexham's 49%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.91 to 0.39 — on chances, Wycombe Wanderers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.17 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Wrexham?

Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 45%, draw 28%, Wrexham 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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