Sevilla II 3-0 Alcoyano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.42/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.99
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Alcoyano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2024 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
13.02.2022 Alcoyano Alcoyano 2-1 HT 2-1 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
19.09.2021 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-3 HT 1-2 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
3-0
AWAY Alcoyano
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Alcoyano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II ran out comfortable winners over Alcoyano 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Sevilla II found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Sevilla II had 61% of the ball to Alcoyano's 39%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alcoyano led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sevilla II and 2.00 for Alcoyano.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Alcoyano?

Sevilla II 3-0 Alcoyano in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Alcoyano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 39%, draw 32%, Alcoyano 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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