Espanyol II 3-1 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Espanyol II win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.03
-9% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Badalona
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 0-1 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
02.03.2024 Badalona Badalona 1-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
21.10.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
05.03.2023 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
16.10.2022 Espanyol II Espanyol II 3-1 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
06.02.2022 Badalona Badalona 3-3 HT 1-1 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol II
3-1
AWAY Badalona
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Espanyol II vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II beat Badalona 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Espanyol II as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol II had 61% of the ball to Badalona's 39%, shots finished 20-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Espanyol II and 1.17 for Badalona.

What was the final score of Espanyol II vs Badalona?

Espanyol II 3-1 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol II vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol II win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Espanyol II 61%, draw 20%, Badalona 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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